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Tuesday, January 25, 2011

A More Reasonable Projection


Given both Internet and wireless history, I suggest mobile Internet traffic growth over the next 5 years is more likely to be in the range 50% to 100% CAGR.  There may be a 12-18 month period when it grows more than 100% per year, but only for 12-18 months and only if some alternate technology enters the mix (for example, widespread use of Wi-Fi hotspots.

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